If the BJP holds its ground here, then it is back with a bang; a minor slip and the party can still cobble together a coalition with support from outside the NDA as it stands; a big drop and the BJP could be staring at a bleak future.
Probably no previous Budget has tried to give so much to so many in such a short time. From farmers to drivers, domestics to handloom weavers, from the huge tribe of nomads to 3 crore middle class people, the budget has seemingly something for everyone.
The votes are in and the exit polls are out. Not that the latter necessarily makes you any the wiser. Yes, Rajasthan continues to trend towards the Congress and KCR seems to be coming back in Telangana. Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh?
In Madhya Pradesh, Chief Minister Shivraj Chouhan is campaigning as if his life depends on it, but his party seems more sanguine - Prime Minister Narendra Modi is only speaking 11 times in the state compared to 21 addresses in the recent election in Karnataka and a desperate 34 in Gujarat.
Chhattisgarh elections are always a close fight. The risk of defeat in a small state could damage the Prime Minister's image nationally. Something he would not want in an election year. In Chhattisgarh, a one per cent lead in votes for the BJP has been enough to give it a credible majority in the last three elections.
If polls were correct Hillary Clinton would be President and Donald Trump would have remained a builder. But almost all of them were completely wrong. So Donald Trump is President and Hillary Clinton is still dreaming of being President.
For the BJP, all is not lost. Those who discount the Modi effect do it at their peril. He remains a very potent campaigner and can lift the party and its votes considerably. The BJP has five months to throw more goodies at the electorate including the universal medical policy before the tournament begins in Central India in November.
Who has won Karnataka? The answer is nobody knows - look at the exit polls which offered totally opposing results. So much so that Times Now decided to get two polls done, just to make sure that they had it right. Of course, both polls gave different results, leaving everyone even more bemused. And then one of those polls - the one that forecast the Congress in the ...
Can Prime Minister Narendra Modi cross the language barrier in Karnataka? Can his translated message have the same impact as asking Gujaratis to vote for the son of their land? Congress leaders don't think so and claim that his Hindi message will be lost in this secular and multicultural state
The BJP needs to reach out to rural India fast; the Budget offers the ideas, will they be delivered?
It is clear that this is what the government really wants. And if the BJP wants, it can be done in 11 of the biggest 17 states without resorting to any constitutional amendment.
But if any foreign investor were to arrive in India today wouldn't they ask themselves should they be investing in a country where people are rioting, burning buses and forcing businesses to close - all because of a film!
Information that can be accessed on the net can be broken into. The biggest IT companies in the world have been hacked. So security of personal information is an issue.
Whatever the BJP spin machine may say, falling below 100 seats was an embarrassment they could have done without. And if one looks closely at the numbers, they were only a few 1000s of votes away from losing the election.