BJP To Sweep Assam, 50 Per Cent Vote Share: Today's Chanakya Exit Poll

The Today's Chanakya exit poll concurred with other election projections that said the Bharatiya Janata Party is on its way to form its third successive government in Assam, predicting a seat tally of 102 seats (with an error margin of 9) and a vote share of 50 per cent (with an error margin of 3 per cent) for the ruling National Democratic Alliance.

Today's Chanakya predicted that the Congress combine is projected to win 23 seats (with an error margin of 9 seats) with a vote share of 38 per cent (with an error margin of 3 per cent).

The Poll of Exit Polls, an aggregate of predictions, has said that the NDA will likely win 92 seats and the Congress-led alliance -- which was a dominant political force in Assam until its 2016 defeat following Himanta Biswa Sarma's defection to the BJP -- will likely win 28 seats.

Health warning: exit polls often go wrong.

The BJP contested in 90 seats, AGP in 26 seats, and BPF in 11 seats. The Congress contested in 99 seats, the Raijor Dal in 13 seats, and the AJP in 10.

Among all major exit polls, Today's Chanakya has predicted the largest number of seats for the NDA in Assam.

Per the Axis My India exit poll, the BJP-AGP-BPF alliance is projected to win between 88 and 100 seats, reducing the Congress-led alliance to just 24-36 seats.

The exit poll predicted a vote share of 48 per cent for the ruling alliance, with the BJP garnering 37 per cent of the votes, followed by AGP's 7 per cent and BPF's 4 per cent. The combined vote share of the Congress-led alliance is expected to be 38 per cent, it added. 

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What Other Exit Polls Predicted

The Janmat exit poll predicted 87-98 seats for the BJP-led alliance, 29-30 for the Congress combine. The JVC poll said the NDA will win 88-101 seats, the Congress-led block 23-33 seats and the AIUDF alliance 2-5 seats.

The Matrize exit poll predicted 85-95 seats for the BJP-led alliance, followed by the Congress-led block's 25-32.

Kamakhya Analytics predicted 85-95 seats for the NDA and 26-39 seats for the Congress. People's Insight said the NDA is projected to win 88-96 seats, followed by the Congress-led alliance's 30-34 seats.

Poll Diary predicted 86-101 seats for the BJP-led alliance and 15-26 for the Congress-led alliance.

In the BJP's poll campaign, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma dwelt on driving out the illegal entrants from Bangladesh and protecting "Jati-Mati-Bheti" -- the Assamese culture, language and identity. The Congress targeted Sarma, the BJP's poster boy in the northeast, claiming the chief minister and his wife had undisclosed assets abroad -- a charge the ruling party vehemently denied.

The counting of votes will take place on May 4.