Himanta Sarma's BJP To Win 70-80 Of Assam's 126 Seats, NDA Sweep: Axis My India Exit Poll

The Bharatiya Janata Party's focus on the infiltration issue in the election campaign appears to have strongly swayed the voter sentiment in its favour in Assam, as the Axis My India exit poll has predicted a landslide poll triumph for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA). The Congress-led alliance, which was hoping to prevent the third BJP victory in succession in the state it once dominated, will likely record yet another dismal performance.

Per the Axis My India exit poll, the BJP-AGP-BPF alliance is projected to win between 88 and 100 seats, reducing the Congress-led alliance to just 24-36 seats.

The Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to become the single-largest party with 70-80 seats. AGP will likely win 7-9 seats and the BPF 9-11 seats.

The exit poll said the Congress will likely win the highest number of seats in its alliance -- between 22 and 30. Its allies are staring at a worse performance -- the Raijor Dal is projected to win 1-4 seats, AJP 1-2 seats, CPI(M) 0-1 seats, and IND (APHLC) 0-2 seats.

Health warning: exit polls often go wrong.

The BJP contested in 90 seats, AGP in 26 seats, and BPF in 11 seats. The Congress contested in 99 seats, the Raijor Dal in 13 seats, and the AJP in 10.

Also Read: NDA To Get Second Straight Term In Puducherry With 16-20 Of 30 Seats: NDTV Exit Poll

NDA's Vote Share

The exit poll predicted a vote share of 48 per cent for the ruling alliance, with the BJP garnering 37 per cent of the votes, followed by AGP's 7 per cent and BPF's 4 per cent.

Also read: UDF To Rout Pinarayi Vijayan-Led LDF After 10 Years In Kerala: NDTV Exit Poll

Congress-led Alliance's Vote Share

The combined vote share of the Congress-led alliance is expected to be 38 per cent. The Congress will bag 31 per cent, followed by Raijor Dal's 3 per cent, AJP's 3 per cent and 1 per cent for the CPI(M) and IND (APHLC), the poll predicted.

Badruddin Ajmal's AIUDF will bag 2 per cent of the votes, it added.

Poll of Exit Polls

The Poll of Exit Polls, an aggregate of predictions, has said that the NDA will win 92 seats and the Congress-led alliance 28 seats.

What Other Exit Polls Predicted

Most of the exit polls predicted a comfortable BJP victory and a poor Congress performance.

The Janmat exit poll predicted 87-98 seats for the BJP-led alliance, 29-30 for the Congress combine. The JVC poll said the NDA will win 88-101 seats, the Congress-led block 23-33 seats and the AIUDF alliance 2-5 seats.

The Matrize exit poll predicted 85-95 seats for the BJP-led alliance, followed by the Congress-led block's 25-32.

Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, who spearheaded the BJP campaign in the state, promised to drive out the illegal entrants from Bangladesh and protect "Jati-Mati-Bheti" -- the Assamese culture, language and identity.

In its campaign, the Congress targeted Sarma, the BJP's poster boy in the northeast, claiming the chief minister and his wife had undisclosed assets abroad. The politician reacted, saying the party had circulated "completely fabricated documents" to stave off poll defeat.

The counting of votes will be conducted on May 4.