Chanakya Exit Poll Predictions For Elections 2026 Highlights: Public opinion polling company Today's Chanakya today released its analysis for key assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam and Kerala.
The TMC+ is expected to be relegated to 100 ± 11 seats with a 38% vote share, marking a major setback for the incumbent government. All other players combined are projected to be virtually wiped out, managing just 2 ± 2 seats.
The DMK-led alliance appears set to retain power in Tamil Nadu, but the headline is the dramatic entry of actor Vijay's TVK.
In Kerala, the "alternating power" tradition seems poised for a comeback. Today's Chanakya predicts a close fight but gives the UDF (Congress-led) the edge with 69 ± 9 seats, potentially unseating the LDF.
In Assam, the BJP is projected to maintain its iron grip. The pollster predicts a "massive majority" for the NDA with 102 ± 9 seats and a staggering 50% vote share, indicating a total consolidation of the electorate behind the incumbent government.
Health Warning: Exit Polls are not always accurate.
Here Are The Highlights Of Exit Poll Results 2026:
Exit Polls Live Updates: Decoding Today's Chanakya Numbers
#ExitPollOnNDTV | Today's Chanakya exit poll projections suggest a strong electoral showing for the BJP across key states, with a potential breakthrough victory in West Bengal.@rahulkanwal @todayschanakya @jayanta_ghosal1 @reporter_mohua @KanchanGupta @PadmajaJoshi @Vasudha156… pic.twitter.com/ZFWYUcJLwV
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Exit Poll Live Updates: India's Biggest Electoral Shock: Revisiting NTR's Landslide
#ExitPollOnNDTV | | India's Biggest Electoral Shock: Revisiting NTR's Landslide Victory@rahulkanwal @ShankkarAiyar Jai Mrug @tmvraghav @madversity @vasudha156 @Padmajajoshi pic.twitter.com/AR4jgKtRIn
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Exit Polls 2026 Live Update: An Anecdote From The Ground In Bengal
#ExitPollOnNDTV | @padmajajoshi shares an anecdote from her Bengal ground reporting, shares an incident where a woman changed her stance off record pic.twitter.com/uipfugQVzA
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Exit Polls Live Updates: Today's Chanakya Numbers For Bengal

Exit Polls Live Updates: 'We Will Win Over 226 Seats, Don't Trust Exit Polls': Mamata Banerjee
"I have complete faith in the massive mandate given by the people," Mamata Banerjee said
Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: "Can't Tell Who Is Winning," Says Senior Journalist Vir Sanghvi
I just can't tell you who's winning. Isn't that honest and wise rather than taking these bets because we know that polling is not an exact science? All it can show us is the direction. One person shows you a wipeout, another person shows you victory, and what's very odd is that many news organisations and their Bengali channels are running polls which say that Mamata Banerjee is winning," Vir Sanghvi told NDTV.
Exit Polls Live Update: BJP Sweep In Bengal, Trinamool A Distant Second, Predicts Today's Chankya Exit Poll
The BJP, Today's Chanakya predicted, could get 192 seats (plus/minus 11 seats) and the Trinamool Congress 100 seats (plus/minus 11 seats). The rest could get two seats (plus/minus two seats).
Poll Of Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Close Contest In Kerala
#ExitPollOnNDTV | Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data: Close Contest In Kerala, UDF With Slight Edge
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Health Warning: Exit Polls are projections and not always accurate@padmajajoshi @tmvraghav @vasudha156 @todayschanakya pic.twitter.com/tSirMtSE3x
Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: West Bengal In Numbers
#ExitPollOnNDTV | BJP To Breach Bengal With 192 Seats, Trinamool To Get 100: Today's Chanakya Exit Poll https://t.co/NgGNsbxHyJ #Datafy pic.twitter.com/Pad1msxPg5
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Exit Polls 2026 Live: BJP Sweep In Bengal
According to the Today's Chanakya seat projection for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections, the BJP is forecasted to secure a dominant 48% (± 3%) of the vote share, translating to 192 ± 11 seats. The TMC+ is expected to follow with a 38% (± 3%) vote share and 100 ± 11 seats, while all other parties combined are projected to garner 14% (± 3%) of the vote, resulting in 2 ± 2 seats.
Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: 192 Seats For BJP In Bengal
BJP to wrest Bengal from Mamata Banerjee with 192 of 294 seats, Trinamool to get 100: Today's Chanakya Exit Poll
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls: Stay Tuned For West Bengal Numbers
Up next: Today's Chanakya will shortly release its numbers for West Bengal Assembly elections.
Exit Poll Live Updates: 2nd Term For DMK In Tamil Nadu, TVK To Do Better Than AIADMK, Predicts Today's Chanakya
Today's Chanakya has said the DMK-led alliance will win 125 seats (with a margin of 11) in the 234-member Assembly.
2026 Exit Polls: Tamil Nadu In Numbers

Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: DMK To Keep Tamil Nadu
MK Stalin's DMK to retain power, Vijay's TVK will win 63 (plus/minus 11) of Tamil Nadu's 234 seats:
DMK+ 39% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
125 ± 11 Seats (Seat Forecast)
TVK 30% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
63 ± 11 Seats (Seat Forecast)
AIADMK+ 27% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
45 ± 11 Seats (Seat Forecast)
Others 4% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
1 ± 1 Seats (Seat Forecast)
Exit Poll 2026 Live Updates: Tamil Nadu Poll Data
According to the Today's Chanakya forecast for the 2026 Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, the DMK+ is projected to lead with a 39% (± 3%) vote share, translated into 125 ± 11 seats. Vijay’s TVK is expected to make a significant impact in its debut, securing 30% (± 3%) of the vote and 63 ± 11 seats, while the AIADMK+ is forecasted at 27% (± 3%) with 45 ± 11 seats. Other parties are anticipated to capture 4% (± 3%) of the vote share, resulting in 1 ± 1 seat.
Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: Close Fight In Kerala, But UDF Has Edge, Predicts Today's Chanakya Exit Poll
The pollster has predicted that the Congress led alliance will win 69 seats (plus/minus 9)
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data LIVE: Kerala In Numbers

Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: BJP To Sweep Assam, 50 Per Cent Vote Share, Predicts Today's Chanakya Exit Poll
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data LIVE: BJP To Win Big In Assam

Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data LIVE: Kerala Exit Poll Data
UDF 40% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
69 ± 9 Seats (Seat Forecast)
LDF 38% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
64 ± 9 Seats (Seat Forecast)
BJP+ 20% ± 3% (Vote Forecast)
7 ± 4 Seats (Seat Forecast)
Others 2% ± 1% (Vote Forecast)
0 ± 1 Seats (Seat Forecast)
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data LIVE: Close Contest In Kerala, UDF With Slight Edge
Based on the Today's Chanakya projections for the Kerala Assembly Election 2026, the UDF is forecasted to secure 40% (± 3%) of the vote share, translating to 69 ± 9 seats. The LDF follows closely with a projected 38% (± 3%) vote share and 64 ± 9 seats, while the BJP+ is expected to garner 20% (± 3%) of the vote, resulting in 7 ± 4 seats. Other parties are anticipated to receive 2% (± 1%) of the vote share, with a seat projection of 0 ± 1.
Today's Chanakya Exit Polls Data LIVE: BJP To Win Big In Assam
According to the latest projections from Today's Chanakya for the 126-seat Assam Assembly, the BJP-led alliance is expected to secure a dominant victory with a range of 93 to 111 seats. The Congress-led coalition follows with a projected 14 to 32 seats, while the AIUDF+ is anticipated to draw a blank with 0 seats. Other candidates and independent parties are estimated to capture between 0 and 2 seats.
Exit Polls 2026 Live Updates: NDA Sweep In Assam, Says Today's Chanakya
NDA to get 102 (margin of 9) of Assam's 126 seats, predicts Today's Chanakya exit poll:
BJP+ Vote Share: 50% (± 3%)
Cong+ Vote Share: 38% (± 3%)
Others Vote Share: 12% (± 3%)
Exit Poll Live Updates: A Look At Voter Turnout In Bengal Elections
#ExitPollOnNDTV | A quick look at the total voter turnout in West Bengal Election #Datafy pic.twitter.com/bosM8HlEHs
— NDTV (@ndtv) April 30, 2026
Bengal Voters Staying Mum, Won't Release Exit Poll Data Today: Axis My India Founder
Some surveys forecast a victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), while others suggest that the Trinamool Congress (TMC), led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, will retain power.