As I went yesterday from TV studio to TV studio, starting at ten in the morning and ending at nine at night, and again on looking at the headlines in the papers this morning, I felt like Huckleberry Finn in Mark Twain's novel sitting in on his own funeral service in church when he is perfectly alive and kicking. For none of the anchors and headline subs took any account of the fact that in the five states where votes were counted yesterday, the Congress on the whole bagged many more seats than the BJP, and in four of the five states a significantly larger share of the total votes polled as well as a much larger share of the vote in seats contested. Does this lead to a Congress-mukt
Let us first take seats won. There were a total of 822 seats at stake. The BJP took 65, the Congress more than double:139! The BJP - the emerging "national party", (ha ha), captured just 6% of the seats; the Congress a little over 12%. The break-up is given below:Assam
CONGRESS 26Wah, Wah
, Modi!West Bengal
CONGRESS 44 Hai Hai
CONGRESS 22 Hai Hai
, Modi!Tamil Nadu
CONGRESS 8 Hai Hai
, Modi! Puducherry
CONGRESS 15 Hai Hai
, Modi!Jai, Jai
Is this a Congress in ICU? Is this a Congress on its death-bed?
Let us now take vote-shares: Percentage of total votes castAssam
Congress higher!West Bengal
Congress ahead, but not by much.Kerala
Congress way ahead Tamil Nadu
Both low, but Congress two and a quarter times higherPuducherry
No contest. Congress far, far ahead. Forming the government.
Let us now compare vote shares in seats contested:Assam
BJP higherWest Bengal
Congress higher - but not by muchTamil Nadu
Both low, but Congress two and a quarter times higher Puducherry
Congress wins hugely. BJP nowhere in the picture.
Let us finally compare the "hit rate" of the two parties, that is, the percentage of seats won in seats contested:Assam
. Jeet gaye. West Bengal
CONGRESS 47.83Hai, Hai,
Modiji, buri tharah haar gaye!Kerala
CONGRESS 25.3Phir, buri haalath
, ModijiTamil Nadu
CONGRESS 19.51Arre, kahan reh gaye
BJP No show
, Modiji, pahunch bhi nahi paye!
Congress ki mahan jeet
Of course, the Congress is in a bad way - but it was almost that way before Bihar. It needs to pull itself up and return to its earlier eminence. But the idea that the party is finished, assiduously propagated by Amit Shah and gang, needs to be disabused. The Congress is not in ICU. It is very much in the running.(Mani Shankar Aiyar is former Congress MP, Rajya Sabha.)Disclaimer: The opinions expressed within this article are the personal opinions of the author. The facts and opinions appearing in the article do not reflect the views of NDTV and NDTV does not assume any responsibility or liability for the same.
Get the latest election news, live updates and election schedule for Lok Sabha Elections 2019 on ndtv.com/elections. Like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter and Instagram for updates from each of the 543 parliamentary seats for the 2019 Indian general elections.