This Article is From Nov 08, 2015

Prannoy Roy's Analysis of Bihar Exit Poll

The "Exit Poll" analysis and forecasts is based on Polling Booth Exit Polls: a sample size of 76020 voters from randomly selected polling booths across Bihar in all 243 constituencies. As voters emerged from these polling booths a randomised selection of voters were questioned on which party they voted for.
Nov 08, 2015 21:08 (IST)
Suparna Singh: you can't say my underworld is fine but yours isn't: @ShekharGupta on air now. #Bihar Elections 2015. https://t.co/1lLgcgz0ja
Nov 08, 2015 21:06 (IST)
Suparna Singh: How could BJP campaign on "jungle raj" while allied with LJP, asks @ShekharGupta on @ndtv now. #NitishReturns
Nov 08, 2015 20:48 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@NitishKumar and Lalu can discuss differences in an idiom particular to their relationship: JDU's Pavan Verma on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 20:47 (IST)
Suparna Singh: not sure if social harmony or justice has been produced or accomplished with this election: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now.
Nov 08, 2015 20:45 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Not sure Bihar is headed for higher plane of governance with Lalu holding reins in some way: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 20:35 (IST)
Suparna Singh: On air, @PrannoyRoyNDTV refers to @DrChandanMitra's strong comments on Amit Shah & #BiharResults in this op-ed https://t.co/FBdOfsRqcL
Nov 08, 2015 20:22 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Lalu spoke of Muslims, Yadavs, religion and caste. He played these cards and succeeded, says @PrakashJavdekar. on air now. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 20:16 (IST)
Suparna Singh: strike rate of RJD and JDU was 80%, Congress' was 60%: @PrannoyRoyNDTV to Sachin Pilot. on air now. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 20:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "after delhi, now Bihar -is the honeymoon over? Are you learning lessons?" @PrannoyRoyNDTV to @PrakashJavdekar. on air now.
Nov 08, 2015 20:12 (IST)
Suparna Singh: These were aberrations, says @PrakashJavdekar about alleged attempts/comments to polarize voters. on air now on @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 20:11 (IST)
Suparna Singh: brave of @PrakashJavdekar to discuss BJP defeat, gracious to offer full support from centre to new Bihar govt. On air now.
Nov 08, 2015 20:04 (IST)
Suparna Singh: we apologize to you, for all the confusion.Our objective is to bring you the news accurately.Thank you for staying with us: @PrannoyRoyNDTV
Nov 08, 2015 20:04 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV :we're looking into why the data from reliable agency was wrong, and we take responsibility & we apologize. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 20:03 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV opens his show with this: the last time we made an error as big as this was 32 years ago. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 19:56 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults & the many miscalculations of Amit Shah -by @RanaAyyub https://t.co/7fgaDksjZy
Nov 08, 2015 19:41 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@ArvindKejriwal to @ndtv on #BiharResults : If hate politics, intolerance does not stop, BJP will be finished
Nov 08, 2015 17:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: 6 big takeaways from BJP defeat in Bihar- @ShashiTharoor 's analysis https://t.co/kt0BxL2GkG. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 16:55 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@DrChandanMitra's honest analysis of BJP defeat in Bihar, says Amit Shah-crafted "high-pitched" campaign failed https://t.co/w2WiyV9r8e
Nov 08, 2015 14:31 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: What will be the national impact of the #BiharVerdict? On fringe, cabinet, policies and reform? Anchoring a special show from 5-7 pm.
Nov 08, 2015 14:00 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: And a Twitter troll is someone who claims to love his country while actively hating most of his fellow citizens. https://t.co/pL6tQHWfwW
Nov 08, 2015 13:56 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@AmitShah meets party leaders for prelim analysis of Bihar defeat: sources to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 13:55 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Waiting to hear from Lalu! It was being said that he would weigh Nitish down, but with 76 seats he is the biggest winner.
Nov 08, 2015 13:52 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Rahul Gandhi: this is a victory against an ideology that divides people. The country belongs to everyone.
Nov 08, 2015 13:50 (IST)
Suparna Singh: stop campaigning, get to work. Hit the accelarator, get this show on the road: Rahul Gandhi to PM. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 13:47 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Whole country is sending clear message to @narendramodi that it cannot be divided: Rahul Gandhi. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 13:46 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Whole country is sending clear message to @nared that it cannot be divided: Rahul Gandhi. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 13:30 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "How can Bihar be a referendum on the centre, but not Maharashtra and Haryana, which we won?" @NalinSKohli on air now. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 13:26 (IST)
Suparna Singh: didn't PM as star campaigner pay off in Maharashtra and Haryana? not a mistake to centre-strage him in #Bihar, says @NalinSKohli on @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 13:24 (IST)
Suparna Singh: course correction remarks are premature, says @NalinSKohli on @ndtv now, reacting to @PChidambaram_IN comments. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 13:23 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: the new @NitishKumar hoardings go up. Photo courtesy @KetkiAngreNDTV https://t.co/TqgWBlXyIs
Nov 08, 2015 13:12 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Nitish is most popular leader in Bihar, Lalu is the leader with the largest social base: @PChidambaram_IN on air now. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 13:05 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Chirag Paswan speaks honestly - We realized some mistakes during campaigning, tried to change. This is Nitish's victory. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 12:31 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: With the RJD having more seats than the JDU, Nitish will have his challenging moments as CM!
Nov 08, 2015 12:30 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Nitish's numbers are lower than Lalu, he will have hands full with Lalu, must avoid national stage: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 12:21 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Sack those making hate remarks: @seshadrichari advice to BJP . #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 12:09 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Seshadri Chari: comments by fringe elements are not even the Hindutva line. Course correction needs to happen.
Nov 08, 2015 12:04 (IST)
Suparna Singh: PM Modi calls @NitishKumar , congratulates him: reports. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 12:03 (IST)
Suparna Singh: currently, RJD at 77, JDU at 66 in Bihar. Lalu's big day? #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 11:42 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Sena barely able to contain gloating, describes Nitish as hero, says it's PM's loss, and "Uddhav has congratulated Nitish". #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 11:33 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "we have to think about how to perform better in next election": @rammadhavbjp tells @ @SreenivasanJain "will take lessons from here"
Nov 08, 2015 11:33 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Elections not won or lost on one factor:@rammadhavbjp to @SreenivasanJain when asked if this will impact AmitShah leadership. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 11:20 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Sharad Yadav tells NDTV that efforts to communalise the elections failed. The BJP tried to hold the tail of a cow, he says.
Nov 08, 2015 11:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Shiv Sena quick to stick it in to BJP. Sena's Sanjay Raut says Nitish emerges as a political hero, acc to ANI. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 11:04 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Honourable of you to appear and discuss defeat, says Prannoy to @PrakashJavdekar on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: if we are losing, it is PURELY because of the math of opposition unity: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 10:49 (IST)
Suparna Singh: TREND NOW - 158 to Grand Alliance, 74 to BJP. "We expected more"- Pavan Verma of JDU. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:44 (IST)
Suparna Singh: These are state elections, this is no reflection on central govt or leadership: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:40 (IST)
Suparna Singh: I kept cautioning TV channels, pleased i am correct: Pavan Verma of JDU on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:37 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "BJP tried to hold tail of cow & win,but failed. Mohan Bhagwat statement greatly damaged BJP": Sharad Yadav to @SreenivasanJain .
Nov 08, 2015 10:36 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Even if Nitish wins fewer seats than Lalu, he will still be CM: Sharad Yadav to @SreenivasanJain. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:35 (IST)
Suparna Singh: members of the same family have voted differently in this election: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:28 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Now looking crystal clear. The JDU alliance will win the Bihar election.
Nov 08, 2015 10:17 (IST)
Suparna Singh: all channels now showing Grand Alliance ahead #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: Grand Alliance ahead with 112, BJP+ at 106
Nov 08, 2015 10:11 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Neck-and-neck now. #BiharResults. Consortium used by national channels correcting to local picture now, says @_YogendraYadav on @NDTV
Nov 08, 2015 10:09 (IST)
Suparna Singh: at 10 am, BJP leading in 108, Grand Alliance in 107. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 10:07 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Celebrations get a little quieter at BJP office in Patna, pick up at JDU office #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 09:59 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: Lok SAbha & Rajya SAbha TV also showing different results, @vikramchandra points out. w/@soniandtv https://t.co/gUSFW3nSFk
Nov 08, 2015 09:59 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: So far only the exit polls were confused. Now counting is confusing too!
Nov 08, 2015 09:50 (IST)
Suparna Singh: we're rechecking all data. This discrepancy on different channels is a first, but we have vigorous balances and checks: @PrannoyRoyNDTV .
Nov 08, 2015 09:50 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Rajya Sabha TV says 108-106 in favour of JDU+. Lok Sabha TV says 88-70 in favour of BJP+ !!
Nov 08, 2015 09:49 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Never seen this big a discrepancy between channels on results: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now.
Nov 08, 2015 09:48 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV and guests on air now explaining why there are discrepancies in forecast on channels. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:42 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Nice to see @ndtv trending :). #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 09:37 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Nitish is sounding more & more like Digvijaya Singh in third innings, aiming to please "Delhi drawing room crowd": @ShekharGupta on @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 09:32 (IST)
Suparna Singh: other parties undersetimate the kind of firepower and commitment BJP brings to election campaigns: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:31 (IST)
Suparna Singh: all parties have to accept now that BJP has become the dominant political force in India: @ShekharGupta to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:30 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Modi-Shah approach to campaigning has clear style now - go big, go for broke: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 09:23 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Slight change in trend, gap narrowing a little, but BJP still set for victory: experts on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:19 (IST)
Suparna Singh: .@NitishKumar's 2 big mistakes: stepping down as CM, then removing Manjhi -@ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 09:18 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Fireworks and colour in the air at BJP Patna office to celebrate, reports @KetkiAngreNDTV. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:16 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Big question now: will BJP+ lead increase with later rounds as usually happens? Or shrink as remote rural seats come in?
Nov 08, 2015 09:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "Maha defeat of Mahagathbandhan": @ShahnawazBJP to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:12 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: At this point, both RJD and Congress have a better strike rate than the JDU within the Mahagathbandhan. Nitish taking a big hit.
Nov 08, 2015 09:08 (IST)
Suparna Singh: So it's BJP+ for #Bihar. Trend will only get stronger in next 30 mins, say experts on @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 09:04 (IST)
Suparna Singh: projection at 9 am: BJP+ get 145-149 seats, form #Bihar govt. #BiharResults
Nov 08, 2015 09:01 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: At this stage, looks like the BJP+ could be heading for 145-149 seats, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV. #BiharVerdict
Nov 08, 2015 09:00 (IST)
Suparna Singh: IF this trend continues, BJP+ gets 145-149 of 243 seats, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV , cautions it's still early.
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Trend is continuing, BJP consistently ahead. BJP is clearly forming next govt in #Bihar at this rate: @PrannoyRoyNDTV
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: JDU is losing the most seats at this point, this is v significant: @PrannoyRoyNDTV. #BiharResults.
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: as BJP surges ahead in leads, @laluprasadrjd supporters send fish to his house to wish him luck, reports ndtv's Alok Pandey
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Vikram Chandra: Clear advantage to the BJP alliance at this stage of the counting. Well ahead of the JDU+. #BiharVerdict
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: if this momentum continues, BJP will form the next govt in Bihar: @PrannoyRoyNDTV.
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Clear advantage now for BJP, says @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv. BJP+ gains 7, ahead in 28 of 41 seats.
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: 27 leads, BJP+ ahead in 16, it's a gain of 2.
Nov 08, 2015 08:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #BiharResult: 25 leads so far, BJP ahead in 15, gain of 2. Track on ndtv app, ndtv,com, NDTV 24X7
Nov 08, 2015 08:44 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #bihar 30 leads: momentum picking up now for BJP+, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV Gain of 4, ahead in 19.
Nov 08, 2015 08:27 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #bihar: Lalu's son Tejashwi leading (in a seat currently held by JDU).
Nov 08, 2015 08:23 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #Bihar early leads now : bjp+ ahead in 7, Grand Alliance 4
Nov 08, 2015 08:21 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #bihar early leads. BJP+ have 6, Grand Alliance 4
Nov 08, 2015 08:15 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #bihar: 3 leads, BJP+ gaining 2. All this from Phase 1.
Nov 08, 2015 08:13 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #Bihar lead: Alauli - LJP (Paswan's brother) leading in a JDU seat.
Nov 08, 2015 07:57 (IST)
Suparna Singh: sort of money poured into this election in #Bihar never seen before: @_YogendraYadav to @ndtv.
Nov 08, 2015 07:54 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Am not desirous of it, but if asked to be Chief Minister, I will accept, says an accommodating Jitan Ram Manjhi to ANI. #Bihar
Nov 08, 2015 07:49 (IST)
Suparna Singh: #Bihar: Today is about battle between desperation and development, says @sambitswaraj acc to @ANI_news
Nov 08, 2015 07:47 (IST)
Suparna Singh: This #Bihar election historic because there was no violence, it was very clean,: Chief Election Commissioner to @ndtv
Nov 08, 2015 07:44 (IST)
Suparna Singh: "Khao piyo noch ke, vote dalo soch ke"- Chief Elction Commissioner laughs when told about this #Bihar saying. On air on @ndtv
Nov 08, 2015 07:41 (IST)
Suparna Singh: Enrolled 50 lakh more women this year for #Bihar: Chief Election Commission on air now on @ndtv.
Nov 06, 2015 21:58 (IST)
This election was a polarising election. Last two phases were very polarising. Senior journalist Shekhar Gupta
Nov 06, 2015 21:56 (IST)
Your exit polls are wide off the mark: Pawan Verma, JD(U)'s Rajya Sabha MP
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