This Article is From May 03, 2016

Watch: Battleground Bengal With Prannoy Roy

Watch the analysis of assembly elections in West Bengal with Prannoy Roy, Shekhar Gupta and Dorab Sopariwala. Voting in West Bengal is divided in six phases. While the first phase voting took place on April 4 and 11, the other phases will be held on April 17, 21, 25, 30 and May 5. Counting on May 19.
May 02, 2016 22:40 (IST)
The Left-Congress combine has a 40% chance of winning this election.

May 02, 2016 22:38 (IST)
Based on data, there is 60% chance that Mamata Banerjee will win a 2nd straight term as Chief Minister.


May 02, 2016 22:35 (IST)
"Nothing is there... only bhaashan. And silence is golden in this regard," says West Bengal on Narendra Modi's performance as PM.

May 02, 2016 22:31 (IST)
"It is a blunder by Congress to align with the CPI(M). The Congress can't go it alone in any state now," says Mamata Banerjee.

May 02, 2016 22:30 (IST)
Mamata Banerjee denies poll-related violence, says Bengal was number 1 in political violence during Left rule, now it's not.
May 02, 2016 22:28 (IST)
"Everyone in my party is honest. Opposition parties have crossed all limits. They are using bad, filthy language like I have never seen before," says West Bengal Chief Minister and TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee.

May 02, 2016 22:26 (IST)
Muslim votes differ  regionally in the state.

May 02, 2016 22:25 (IST)
Muslim vote crucial in West Bengal. Trinamool Congress' vote share is weaker in Muslim seats.

May 02, 2016 22:23 (IST)
Muslims are in the North Central Belt. Here there are large no of seats with more than 50% Muslim voters.

May 02, 2016 22:21 (IST)
The Muslim percentage population in Bengal is 27%.

May 02, 2016 22:20 (IST)
Can opposition unity and swing impact help Congress-Left agreement win?

May 02, 2016 22:17 (IST)
In 2014, the BJP gained primarily from a 12% swing away from the Left

May 02, 2016 22:16 (IST)

May 02, 2016 22:15 (IST)
But in 2014, there was a complete change. Trinamool Congress on its own got 214 seats.
In 2014, if Left and Congress would have got together, they would have got 97 seats

May 02, 2016 22:14 (IST)
Impact of Left-Congress agreement. The Congress was king-maker in 2011.

May 02, 2016 22:08 (IST)
"The situation in Bengal and Kerala is different. Bengal is facing tyranny and despotic government," says Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury.
May 02, 2016 22:05 (IST)
Can't name Chief Ministerial candidate yet. Our focus right now is to dislodge Mamata government, says West Bengal Congress chief Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury.

May 02, 2016 22:03 (IST)
"We are confident of win", says Surjya Kant Mishra
May 02, 2016 22:01 (IST)
"We are against unnecessary political interference in administration..In 2011, there was a clear attempt by Trinamool Congress to polarise voters," says Surjya Kant Mishra.

May 02, 2016 21:58 (IST)
CPI(M)'s Surjya Kant Mishra says there is no need to convince voters, they see reality.
May 02, 2016 21:55 (IST)
Mamata Banerjee lost so much votes in Kolkata because it was a four-way fight, says Dorab Sopariwala.

May 02, 2016 21:49 (IST)
BJP doesn't have an ally here. I don't see Mamata in the future allying with the BJP, says Shekhar Gupta.

May 02, 2016 21:45 (IST)
"Trinamool vote is a rock-solid vote. We don't change our ideology like a T-shirt," says Derek O'Brien.

May 02, 2016 21:44 (IST)
BJP gained from TMC in Kolkata, gained from Left in rest of West Bengal

May 02, 2016 21:43 (IST)
From 2011 to 2014 elections, BJP gained from Left

May 02, 2016 21:42 (IST)
May 02, 2016 21:41 (IST)
TMC dominated Kolkata, Suburban Kolkata region in 2011 and 2014 elections

May 02, 2016 21:40 (IST)
In Central Belt, Trinamool Congress is very strong, whereas Left is on a decline

May 02, 2016 21:39 (IST)

In North Central region, Congress is strong and Trinamool Congress is relatively weak

May 02, 2016 21:38 (IST)
In many ways, voting pattern in West Bengal is not uniform.

May 02, 2016 21:35 (IST)

A swing of 3% votes from Trinamool Congress (TMC) to the Left-Congress could see the TMC race ahead with 149 of 294 seats.A 2% swing in favour of the Trinamool Congress will make it cross the 200 mark.

May 02, 2016 21:34 (IST)
Trinamool Congress fought 2011 Vidhan Sabha polls in alliance with Congress. By 2014, they had parted ways

May 02, 2016 21:33 (IST)
Fall of the Left Vs rise of BJP in 2014

May 02, 2016 21:32 (IST)
In 2014 polls, Mamata Banerjee's party won 34 of Bengal's 42 Lok Sabha seats

May 02, 2016 21:30 (IST)
How will Mamata Banerjee's numbers stack up? Watch the analysis of assembly elections with Prannoy Roy.