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Developing 2026 El Nino Is Outpacing Past Events

Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies reached about 2.2°C by mid-July 2026, running ahead of previous major El Niño events, including 1997 and 2015, at the same point in the year.

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  • 2026 El Niño Could Become Strongest on Record
    Forecast models suggest the developing 2026-27 El Niño could peak at around 3.6°C in the Niño 3.4 region, surpassing the strongest observed El Niño events since records began.
  • Developing 2026 El Niño Is Outpacing Past Events
    Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies reached about 2.2°C by mid-July 2026, running ahead of previous major El Niño events, including 1997 and 2015, at the same point in the year.
  • Monsoon Rainfall Remains 23% Below Normal Across India
    India has recorded a cumulative rainfall deficit of 23% between June 1 and July 15, 2026, with wide regional variations as several districts face deficient rainfall while a few continue to receive excess rain.
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