Bengal Exit Polls | BJP Sweep In Bengal, Trinamool A Distant 2nd, Predicts Today's Chankya Exit Poll

The current round of assembly polls is expected to bring to BJP a long-awaited prize -- Bengal, a state it has been trying to wrest from Mamata Banerjee since 2016. The BJP, Today's Chanakya predicted, could get 192 seats (plus/minus 11 seats) and the Trinamool Congress 100 seats (plus/minus 11 seats). The rest could get two seats (plus/minus two seats). In numbers, this would translate to 181 to 203 seats for the BJP, 89 to 111 seats for the Trinamool and 0-4 seats for the rest. The majority mark in the 294-member assembly is 148. Health warning: Exit polls, though may not always get it right. The BJP votes, Chanakya predicted, could come from Scheduled Caste and Tribes, the Trinamool appears to have its Muslim vote intact There was speculation that the Muslim vote will split following the rebellion of party leader Humayun Kabir and the entry of AIMIM's Asaduddin Owaisi.