three big takeaways from the exit polls and the pole of the polls that NDTV has done. But I would like to give you a disclaimer. You know, it's a health warning. Exit polls are often wrong, but just based on the data and we do wrote, in fact, do any exit poll. We calculate a mean of all the exit polls which has been done across various media networks. Now, what are the three important things that have come out of the exit polls and the three important take away? So let me first tell you the exit poll for Gujarat gave a very clear lead to the Bharatiya Janata Party. The exit poll says that the BJP is not only coming back with a big majority, it is most likely going to break the record of the Bharatiya Janata Party's best performance at most in 2002. When Narendra Modi became the chief minister for the first time in 2002 election, the BJP after the Gujarat rights had got um 127 seats. This time the mean of the exit polls suggest that the BJP is likely to get 1 31 seats, the Congress has been relegated to a distant number two, while the Aam Aadmi party, which came onto the scene of Gujarat with a loud bank, are seems to be a very, very far distant third. Meanwhile, if you compare this to the exit poll of Himachal Pradesh in Himachal Pradesh, it looks like a close fight, a cliffhanger of sorts where the BJP and the Congress are in a neck to neck fight, where some exit polls are giving BJP a slight edge. There are others which are suggesting that the Congress might just pull it off. So if the Congress wins in 20 in Himachal Pradesh, that is going to be after 2019 Congress's parties first victory PNA in a neck direct or in a straight head on fight between the BJP and the Congress Party. So the BJP is hoping to turn the riv arse of changing door politics in Himachal Pradesh revolving rolled politics in Himachal Pradesh. They are hoping to break that rivers, while the Congress Party is hoping that they will get the Raj after this revolving door once again. Meanwhile, the other important to exit fall was for the election. The local body elections in Delhi, where the Aam Aadmi party seems to be far ahead of the BJP Congress Nowhere to be found, the BJP is likely to stay in the double digits while the Aam Aadmi party out of the 2 50 boards seems to be winning those wards. Hands down More than 150 seats is what the Aam Aadmi party is projected to get. Now one of the three big Take a waste for me in this out of these all exit ports. This is the mature in Gujarat despite the anti incumbency for 27 years. Aam Aadmi party also coming onto the scene All the talks about the low voting person 10 Sha you know Which way is it going to? Which party is it going to heart more? It just seems that despite all this, the voters still have confidence on Narendra Modi. His face becomes the most important factor. Apart from that, it is the BJP's rolling, not their electoral machinery which micromanage is Amit Shah see our vital micromanaging every constituency, every political booth and their management seems to be far superior than any other political party That's taken a number one and it will also in fact give a boost to Narendra Modi ahead of 2024 election. He has won his home state handsomely. This will reverberate in the state elections, which are coming up in 2023 as well. Take take away number two. If the Congress Party wins Himachal Pradesh, that's the only silver lining for them. At least they would be able to project that their local campaign strong regional their major machinery in that state, coupled with Priyanka Gandhi, has put up some fight against the BJP, which we're not able to replicate in Gujarat. And if they do win like I said, it will be first time into after 2019 that the Congress Party would be able to win a state in a head on fight with the BJP. But the victory in Himachal Pradesh for the Congress Party will have much far reaching impact because in 2013, if you talk about Karnataka, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, all these states are bipolar states. Between the fight between the BJP and the Congress Party, at least the congress will get a message that they can fight and they can win. They have not been relegated even behind the Aam Aadmi party as the challenger number principal challenger against the BJP for the Aam Aadmi party, which was hoping to in fact win or at least get fantastic results in the Gujarat elections. This even a disappointment would seem that the Aam Aadmi party has put up a spirited fight. The BJP's most talked about election juggernaut fails when there are strong regional players. This is what the election is showing that despite the BJP pulling all stops getting their big leaders at J. P Nada chief ministers, MPs, central ministers, they have not been able to defeat the Arvind Kejriwal electoral made tricks in the national capital and we saw the same happening in in West Bengal, also in Tamil Nadu and other states where the strong regional player exception was Uttar Pradesh. These are the three big takeaways and they will have a repercussion not only in the state elections 2023 but also in 2020 for general elections
Elections