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Why Infosys Shares Are A Good Bet For Retail Investors Now

Reliance Securities says that Infosys is a good bet for retail investors at this juncture given the buyback price of Rs 1,150 is around 32 per cent higher than Monday's closing price of Rs 873.50.

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Why Infosys Shares Are A Good Bet For Retail Investors Now

Infosys shares have corrected nearly 15% in last two trading sessions.


Infosys shares corrected nearly 15 per cent in last two trading sessions after Vishal Sikka abruptly resigned as CEO and MD of the company. With Dr Sikka exit, hopes of turnaround of the company have been pushed back and led to selloff in the shares of India's second biggest IT outsourcer. Many brokerages including Nomura have downgraded Infosys shares and have slashed their target price on the stock. However, Reliance Securities says that Infosys is a good bet for retail investors at this juncture given the buyback price of Rs 1,150 is around 32 per cent higher than Monday's closing price of Rs 873.50

Here is how retail investors are going to be benefited, according to Reliance Securities:

Infosys has announced buy back of around 11.30 crore shares at Rs 1,150 per share. As per market regulator Sebi's rules, 15 per cent of buyback is reserved for retail investors (having shareholding up to Rs 2 lakh), said Reliance Securities. This implies that around 1.70 crore shares in the buyback will be reserved for retail investors. Assuming that all of the retail shareholders tender their shares, the acceptance ratio will be 59 per cent (against total retail holding of 2.87 crore shares), the brokerage said.

"As acceptance ratio increases, individual/retail investors who tender their shares will earn more profit, ranging from Rs 16,000-22,000 (19-25%), assuming the buying price is the CMP (Rs 873.50) and investors sell their remaining shares at the CMP," Reliance Securities said in a statement.

As on record date (which will be announced later) if you will have Infosys shares worth less than Rs 2 lakh, then you will qualify as retail investors and can tender shares to the tune of Rs 1,18,000 (59 per cent of Rs 2 lakh). If less number of retail shareholders tender their shares in the buyback, then the acceptance ratio will increase and the retail investor's profit will also increase, according to Reliance Securities.

Here is an illustration from Reliance Securities on expected profit for retail investors in three possible scenarios:

infosys buyback
A scenario analysis by Reliance Securities

Infosys shares closed 0.41 per cent higher at Rs 877.15 compared to Monday's closing price of Rs 873.50 on Bombay Stock Exchange.


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