This Article is From Jul 07, 2014

Asian Shares Ease as Investors Look to Earnings

Asian Shares Ease as Investors Look to Earnings

Asian stock markets got off to a slow start on Monday after a US market holiday but held near three-year highs on optimism about the US economy, with investors now shifting their focus to corporate earnings.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was off 0.2 per cent by late morning, staying just under Friday's highs and near its 2011 peak, having risen about 7 per cent so far this year.

Japan's Nikkei average was little changed after closing at a 5-1/2-month high on Friday.

The world's share prices rallied last week, with MSCI's All World share index hitting a record high, as data showed US employment growth smashed forecasts and unemployment fell to near a six-year low of 6.1 per cent.

"The US job data was undeniably strong, confirming a strong recovery in the economy," said Tsuyoshi Shimizu, chief strategist at Mizuho Asset Management.

Investors are now looking at whether record share prices will be justified by quarterly earnings reports and forecasts in the United States and elsewhere, with aluminium producer Alcoa kicking off the US earnings season on Tuesday.

"People said the US earnings would be bad for January-March but in the end the profits were up. I would expect decent results," Shimizu said.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect earnings growth of 6.2 per cent for the second quarter and a return to double-digits in the third and fourth quarters: 10.9 per cent and 11.9 per cent, respectively.

"While some people say the valuations of US shares are becoming a bit expensive, I think there's further upside potential given US interest rates are still low," Suzuki also said.

Despite the improvement in the job market, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates near zero for at least a year even as it is trimming stimulus.

In addition, two other major central banks -- the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan -- are committed to stimulus, keeping cheap money sloshing around possibly for years.

Still, following the job data, the US bond yields jumped, with the rate-sensitive two-year yield staying near a 10-month high.

The two-year US yield stood at 0.528 per cent on Monday, after having risen to 0.532 per cent on Thursday.

"The payroll data showed US job market was tightening faster than the Fed's forecast. The jobless rate was falling not because people are giving up looking for jobs but because of rising payrolls. It's strong data for both hawks and doves alike," said Tomoaki Shishido, fixed income analyst at Nomura Securities.

Rising US bond yields turned the table for the dollar in the currency market.

The dollar index held at 80.333, the highest level in a week and a half, having recovered from two-month low of 79.740 on Tuesday.

As a result, the euro was on the back foot at $1.3585 down from last week's six-week high of $1.3701 while the yen traded at 102.15 yen to the dollar, also off a six-week high of 101.235 set a week ago.

US crude oil futures traded little changed at $104.01 per barrel, up from a low of $103.67 hit late last week, as Libya geared up to resume exports after the end of an almost year-long blockage by a rebel group of two major ports.

Elsewhere, copper slipped from a 4-1/2-month high of $7,190 per tonne hit on Friday but still held near that level at $7,115, thanks to increasingly positive economic signals in China, which will start releasing June data later this week.

Copyright: Thomson Reuters 2014